Football statistics are a useful tool that helps you understand the game in greater depth. Today, they are available on most online betting sites and platforms that publish match results.
Traditional football statistics include a range of different figures:
- possession;
- the number of shots and corners;
- passes;
- shots, and so on.
But these figures can often be misleading. A team may have the ball for 75% of the match, take 15 shots, and still lose 0–1 after conceding from a single counterattack.
Modern statistics on online sports betting sites assess not only the basic figures, but also the quality of the actions that each of the teams takes on the pitch. One of the main tools of modern analysis is xG, the expected goals metric.
How xG is calculated
Under the xG (Expected Goals) model, every shot on the pitch receives a value based on its probability of finding the net. Put simply, the metric does more than count shots: it shows how dangerous each one was. You can find these statistics on the website or in the app you get via the 1xBet mobile download.
For example, depending on the model and the circumstances, a shot from 30 metres might be assigned a low value such as 0.02 xG, while a shot in a one-on-one situation against the goalkeeper might receive a higher value, such as 0.4–0.6 xG. A penalty, for instance, is typically assigned an xG value of around 0.76–0.79, depending on the model, while a close-range shot at an empty goal generally receives a high xG value that depends on the model and the circumstances.
The sum of the xG values assigned to a team’s individual shots gives its total expected goals, which you can see in the statistics on a bookmaker’s website or after a 1xBet mobile app download. At the same time, no shot can receive an xG of 1.0: even the most obvious scoring chances are regularly missed in football.
The Expected Goals model will be interesting and useful to people who enjoy in-depth analytical breakdowns or engage in football betting online on 1xbet.com/en/line/football. How can these figures be used to judge the quality of attacking play?
If a team accumulates its xG through a large number of low-probability shots from long range, this indicates low average chance quality but does not by itself prove that its attacking play has been ineffective. But if, for example, its xG is high despite a modest five shots, that suggests it broke down the defence well and created genuinely dangerous chances. For online football betting at 1xBet, this helps you look beyond the final score.
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