
“How do I start?”
If you are reading this guide, its clear you have a keen interest in predicting football results.
It is no longer news that football is the most popular sports. Hence explaining why we have a upswing of new bookies almost on a monthly basis.
This is the question on the lips of every beginner who wants to bet on football today.
Introduction
Shrewd bettors and sports fans alike both have one lingering question. It primarily centres on developing or creating a strategy for predicting football results that would yield profit.
In this post and subsequently, we will be bringing to the fore , fundamental tools which will aid in creating a strategy that would help acquire profit.
We will also try to answer questions pertaining to draws and accurately rating teams.
Developing a Strategy
Scholars and punters have been pioneers of football predictions in terms of analysis. Over time, different methods have been discovered as we will later mention on this thread. For these set of people prediction of matches has always been about the thrill from discovery of such methods.
But for so many others who stake on football events, making a prediction and placing a wager is about gaining and losing.
How accurate the methods or strategies we use are when compared to others isn’t our main concern.
Our strategy should have the ability to;
Identify value bet &
identify value bets frequently
Identification of value bets
This is quite self-explanatory. Any method to be used by a bettor in predicting games should be able to identify value bets. If it lacks this ability , we would have to discard the method. Theres no law that states your strategy must be applied to different markets for it to be effective.
For example
If you’re betting strategy helps you identify an over 2.5 goals market, it might be ineffective in other markets.
Always remember that you are staking against the bookies, and thus it’s clearly your strategy coming up against theirs.
Ability to identify value bets frequently.
As unimportant as it may sound, frequency has to be put into consideration.
If your method is solely for determining the outcome of football games, but manages to do so just twice in 30games. This clearly is a poor statistic. In subsequent post we will further illustrate on this.
Summary
It is important to note that any strategy/method should be able to match the amount of time spent trying to creat it. It should stand the test of time, that is to say it should not require update frequently.
And once again the question of how to accurately predict football results pops up.
In predicting football results there are key things to take note of, factors that would definitely affect the accuracy of ones prediction.
Other topics to be discussed include
- Predicting football matches ; factors to consider
- The goal expectancy ratio
- Football matches and data that help predict them
- Relationship between shot location and Goal expectancy.
to be continued on the next post …
Leave a Reply