This type of bet option popularly shortened as DNB on most of the bookmakers sites is a betting strategy popularly amongst shrewd bettors always looking for ways to reduce the probability of them losing their total stake. This selection eliminates an option thus adding another, which is removing the aspect of losing you money when a game draws and offering you a refund when the final result is a draw.
Just a handful of bettors see the possibility of games ending in a draw, a larger percentage just stick with the old fashioned home win, draw or away win (1 X 2).
This kind of selection in simple terms is one in which the stake would be returned/cancelled or made void if the result is a draw (no profit made), if the team backed wins, you win but if the opposing team wins the bet is lost.
Here’s an example of a valued draw no bet selection
Draw no bet could be regarded as a strategy in that in most cases the market offered by bookmakers will not make these option available if its not to their advantage , its quite normal to see these bookmakers balance their odds using the odds of DNB they offer. Its advisable to take time using simple arithmetic to calculate and create possible DNB odds for your use.
The MATHS angle of DNB
For instance we want to place N3000 on Atletico madrid playing against Barcelona . The possible odds are as follows
Atletico 3.20 Draw 3.09 Barcelona 2.65
The norm would be to bet in such a way that if the outcome is a draw it wouldn’t spell DOOM, we could do this by dividing our stake by the odds for draw
i.e N3000 /3.09 the result of this would be that if we bet N970.87 the outcome would be N3000 if the game ends without a win.
Therefore, we could also place N2029.13 on Atletico win. (3000-970.87=N2029.13).
This gives you a potential draw no bet selection. If Atletico wins you earn N6493.22 (as compared to the N9600 you would have won for straight win on atletico) but if the game ends in a draw you get your full stake of N3000 back.
Scrolling down the bookmaker is offering odds of ;
Draw no bet
Atletico 2.24 Barcelona 1.85
If we decide to stick with the DNB we would get N6720 and get to keep our N3000 if the game is a draw.
After concluding our calculations we can get to decide much easily on whether to stick to the odds offered by these bookmakers or stick to ours.
In the case above we would stick to that of the bookmaker because the odds are slightly more profitable compared to ours but this will not be the case in every situation. As we strive to get more odds (value) per stake game, alternatively the Asian handicap can be used as a replacement for this option but that chapter is a verse for another day.
Here’s a refunded stake (void) after game ends as a draw.
Knowing what DNB stands for now we could now create odds for draw no bet and place a wager where we see value and where there is a high probability of a draw. As this would help maintain our bankroll (money management).
Moving on , there are tips that could help us pick these draw no bet selections with better efficiency.
Some are stated below:
Leagues with higher percentage of home wins as compared to away wins.
Some leagues are quite notorious for their overwhelming home result records, one of such leagues would be our very own Nigerian professional football league (NPFL). Statistically speaking a good 80% of games in this league either ends in a home win or a draw, and thus leads to an expected reduction in the odds for DRAW NO BET in such leagues, but with little time investment and the right information channels one can find other leagues with much better odds being offered for this market. Just do a little more digging.
Teams with good home record
Some teams have an overwhelming record when it comes to home games, some teams in this category include Atletico madrid of the spanish la liga , with a fan base that tends to overwhelm any away team its pretty difficult to get a result here , another example good example would be empoli of the italian serie B as they had an almost perfect record at home late time out
History /Trends
Teams have a pattern that has stuck with them for years , some of them never win against some particular opponents so when you see a value on such games you know what to pick .
A good example would be Arsenal vs leicester who have a trend of either a home win or draw so in this case a home draw no bet comes in handy.
Style of play
Some teams like Burney of the English premier league have a tendency to draw a lot of games when the play at home. With their defensive style of play, it’s either they win or the final result ends in a draw. Only a few teams have been able to get a result at their home.
Nature of the game
If a team needs at least a draw to qualify for the next round of a competition then it would be advisable to take the draw no bet option cause losing is not an option for that team.
One of such games would be the Atletico vs Arsenal match during the just concluded Europa cup, after drawing level in the first leg with Arsenal in London with just 10men.
It was pretty clear that at home all they needed was at least a draw but as we all know they went on to win it.
It is also to be noted that most of these DNB selections are most favorable at home games because of some of the above mentioned reasons.
This is a a good bet option when studied properly.
Also read – How to know when to use apply draw no bet in your betting selections
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