Betting strategy- Lesson One(1): the over 1.5 goals strategy

The Over 1.5 goals system is a far more reliable way to place bets than ordinary Over 2.5.


“Under 1.5 goals” means, we’d expect 0 or 1 goal “Over 1.5 goals” means, we need to see at least 2 goals in the match.

Bets for this strategy are never placed before the match, only on Live In-play games.

The odds for Over 1.5 goals tend to raise fast. Before the game prices for Over 1.5 goals are 1.30 or more. Not enough to make a decent profit. Once the game begins each minute without a goal raises the odds.

After 15 minutes you can expect odds about 1.45 and after 30 minutes about 1.70. If the first half doesn’t produce any goals at all – the odds could get up to 2.0 or over!

This is what we are waiting for and that’s when we’ll place our bet. If you want, you can place a bet after 40 minutes in the first half or during the half-time. The sooner you place, the lower your profit will be.


Once the goal is scored the odds will drop usually back to 1.5 and putting you in a perfect position to sell the bet or make a cash-out if your bookmaker supports that. The time of the first goal also determines how much you’ll win. In an ideal position, the first goal will be scored between 46th and 55th minute. And that happens very often!

Don’t place any bets in the first 30 or 40 minutes of the game. After that (preferably during half time) bet on Over 1.5 goals! Use this strategy on games that are available for live betting and the game is a strong candidate for Over 2.5 goals.

If an early goal surprises you – forget this game and move on. This strategy is not suitable anymore.


Here is a list of games played during the strategy testing period. We have listed the time of placing the bet, the stake and odds.

  • Roma – Cagliari. In 27′ minute Over 1.5 goals – 3k @ 1.5 odd.
  • Portsmouth – Newcastle. 47′ – back Over 1.5 goals – 3k @ 2.44. The game ended 0-3!
  • Chelsea – Westham, 28′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 30€ @ 1.53.
  • Hoffenheim – Schalke – 26′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 5k@ 1.55
  • Malaga – Nunmancia. 46′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 2k @ 2.36, in 88′ minute two goals for 2-0!
  • Sevilla – Villareal. 25′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 2k @ 1.68. In 35′
  • Kaiserslautern – Freiburg. 15′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 6k @ 1.50. No goals. In 30′ again 2k @ 1.90 and in 46′ minute once again 6k @ 2.36. First goal in 57′ minute, and another one later. All bets won!
  • Charlton – Derby. 15′ – Back Over 1.5 goals – 4k @ 1.6.

All games have made money! Only two out of ten were losers –Sassuolo – Ancona (-6k – one goal scored and it was too late in the match to trade without loss) and Recreativo de Huelva – Osasuna where we placed the bet in 47th minute 6k @ 3.0, but the first goal came very late in the 87th minute. Too late to trade.

Sometimes, the teams will keep you on the edge for 80 minutes, before the action starts.


Over 1.5 goals is a great universal system. The only downside is – you’ll have to watch the games or at least keep a track of live-score and you’ll need time to do that. But in the end – it’s worth it! If you’re serious about making money with betting, this strategy could be one of your main money makers.


QUICK SUMMARY:

Bet on over 1,5 goals instead of 2,5

Analyze the games and only the ones predicted for over 2,5 qualify for this strategy

Don’t place any bets until the odds for over 1,5 goals reach at least 1,50 or more (we recommend waiting for 40 minutes or the whole first half)

 

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