I read this article somewhere on the net and found it interesting; so i have to bring it home to my blog readers.
Over/Under Betting Strategy Based On Statistics…
Let’s assume that there’s a match between team A and team B. Team A being the home side.
Now, find out team A’s average of goals scored and conceded at home( There many websites you can use to read the stats, example soccervista). So, let’s assume that team A scores 2.1 and concedes 1.20 ( 2.1+1.20 = total of 3.30 goals average in team A’s home games).
Again, check what team B’s average goals scored and conceived in their away games is. Let’s say that team B scores 1.75 avg. and concedes 1.15 – a total of 2.90 goals avg. in team B’s away games.
Then, take the two smallest numbers 1.15 + 1.20 = 2.35 – minimum goals in this match. In the same manner you find the maximum which is 3.85. The avg. of the min/max is 3.10 which is much more the line of 2.50, so you bet over in this game.
As for me, If i get an avg. of 2.70 or more i bet over with high stakes. If it’s between 2.50 and 2.70 I will decide by myself if the OVER bet is worth a try(if you have my eBook tutorial you can be able to do further analysis on the match). If I get an average between 2.30 and 2.50 I will decide if the UNDER bet is worth a try too. If I get an average of 2.30 or lower I will bet under with high stakes.
Of course, sometimes I don’t necessarily bet on the 2.50 line. I might also bet on lines of 3.00, 2.00 and others.
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