When gambling on football matches, it is wise to research properly before making any bet selection.
In this article, we explain
Here are some tips and suggestions on what to check before betting on soccer matches:
1. League position
The most obvious tip. We often check the league table from the best division in our own country however we do not always know the league positions of teams in the lower divisions or other countries. Be sure to check the league positions of teams before making a bet because there are often surprises – RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga and Huddersfield Town in The Championship last season.
We sometimes think a team is good because they are famous but that does not always mean they are doing well at this time. Also consider that a team in 6th is not always going to beat a team that is 14th – especially away and if there are only 4 points between them.
Use the league table to check things like the number of Home and Away wins and the number of draws. As the season gets going you can see patterns in which teams draw much more often than others or which teams never win away.
The goal difference is also significant as you can see which teams are scoring many goals to those who are conceding many goals and you can see which teams have very strong defenses are more likely to win 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 than they are 2-1 or 3-1 or 4-2 for example.
Look at the fixture lists of individual teams in advance because teams often under-perform or over-perform against certain teams at certain times of the season. For example when a team near the bottom is scheduled to play their next three matches against three teams in the top 4, there will often be at least one draw.
Look at when teams may have an easy or difficult month – when are the top teams (and bottom teams) playing each other for example.
Consider the “International breaks” which are for International friendlies and world cup qualifiers, etc. These can often break a team’s form and star players often get injured.
The number of games top teams play over a season can lead to fixture “congestion” or “pile-up” – this is when teams have to play many games in a short time. Many managers running successful teams complain about this. They will often rest key players and play young players with little experience against weaker teams with surprising results.
Teams also often perform below their best in the League games following Champions League games where they will often draw against teams they usually beat.
3. Current Form
If a team has won five games in a row in any league, they’re definitely on form. Start banking on them especially against more inferior teams. When a team is on losing streak, they’re more likely going to lose against a stronger team in their next outing. Also note that the longer the winning or windless run, the more sooner it’ll end.
Check information about “Derby” games and “Bitter rivals” games. Derbies are games between two teams from the same city (Real Madrid vs Athletico Madrid) and Bitter Rivals games are games between teams who have a history of competiveness (Manchester United vs Liverpool) so It is often a good idea to check the head to head record – that is separate statistics of the number of wins / losses and draws between the two teams since the two clubs formed.
These games are also highly emotional and so you will often see a higher number of yellow and red cards as well penalties awarded scored and saved.
“Bogey” teams – These are teams that for some magical reason often lose or fail to get a result against one specific team year after year, season after season – often in dramatic situations even though there may be a huge gap between the teams’ league positions – a modern example is Crystal Palace who are currently Liverpool’s “bogey” team. Ask friends and check previous results to identify different clubs’ bogey team!
Win, Loss and Draws runs – Check to see the longest win, loss and draw streaks to help choose when that team may win, lose or draw. If a team draws 4 games in a row and the longest streak it has for drawing is 5 then it is highly unlikely that the streak is going to continue.
Check the fair play league table for teams with good and poor discipline to help you decide which teams and games to gamble on in the yellow and red card markets.
Distances travelled for teams playing away games can affect teams too. Which teams travel by bus, train or plane? Which are more comfortable. How long are the journeys? How far apart are the cities the teams play? If a team from the South of England has to travel to Israel to play on Thursday in the Europa cup and then travel to the North of England to play on Sunday this is going to affect the team’s preparations dramatically for both games.
Managers are changed more often than ever these days and of course this generally follows a very bad run of results, a very poor league position or failure to meet the board or the fans’ expectations. When the new manager takes over we often see a dramatic improvement in the teams’ effort, performance and results in the short-term. Look out for value bets at times when the manager has left the club or a new one has been appointed.
Think about key players in lots of teams, not just the top teams. If you play fantasy football then you’ll also know about players from other teams – the defenders that take free kicks and penalties. The midfielders that get lots of assists but never seem to score. The players that get booked every game.
Consider “under-rated” and “over-rated players” – different TV pundits, journalists and fans over value or under value players because of their reputation, age, loyalty or disloyalty – be your own judge – your winning and losing bets will help decide for you which players are good or not.
Different players get “Serious” or “Niggling” injuries either often or almost never, some need operations, players coming back from injury are not always mentally strong and so may perform less well. Teams can also suffer dramatically from players being injured especially in key positions such as striker or central defense.